Posts

Showing posts from 2021

Role of monetary policy on CO2 emissions in India

The study investigates the impact of monetary policy on CO2 emissions while controlling for income, trade, foreign direct investment (FDI) and accounting for structural breaks using annual data from 1971 to 2014. By utilizing the extended environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) framework and dynamic ARDL simulations, the results reveal that the Kuznets curve is a long-run phenomenon for India, not a short run. Moreover, interest rates are identified to possess a significantly positive relation with emissions in the short as well as long run. This indicates the sub-optimality of the present monetary policy for sustainable growth. Hence, it suggests incorporating environmental impacts into the central bank’s framework. Additionally, trade is found to be inelastic and weakly beneficial for the environment, while FDI is elastic and significantly detrimental. The latter evidence supports Pollution Haven Hypothesis. Further, following Itkonen (Itkonen, Energy, 2012) arguments, the study demonstrat...

Impact Evaluation Methods with Applications in Low and Middle Income Countries

The course by IMF provides an overview of empirical methods and analytical techniques for assessing the impact and effectiveness of development innovations at product and policy levels and the way to measure what's working. The course provides tools to evaluate the causal impact of various policies and programs.

Machine Learning

Machine learning is the science of getting computers to work without being explicitly programmed. The Machine learning course offered by Stanford University provides an introduction to this. It flows very smoothly and in the way that the hardest and toughest topics get absorbed with ease. Indeed, the instructor has delivered and designed an incredible course. For starting ML, no other resource could be better,

Reject Inference Technique

Image
Predictive models are used to form a “credit score” that determines the probability of an application being good/bad at a future date. Different types of models are used in this context, the most common being the Regression Formulae,

Macroeconometric Forecasting

The course by IMF focuses on the application of econometric techniques for modelling the dynamic behavior of macroeconomic variables, like, consumption, investment etc. and their response to policy changes.

Types of Technical progress and its implications in Solow model

Image
Notes based on the lecture by Prof. Alwyn Young discuss types of technical processes, Uzawa's theorem and its implications.

Confidence in currency - Observation of transacting with Rs. 10 coin

Recently, I was transacting with a fruit vendor, to whom I owed Rs. 10. I had given him a coin of that amount for the payment (i.e. a rupee 10 coin).

Intermediate Quantitatives for Economists

These are the notes from LSE MA 207 course which discusses the basic mathematics required for further studies at the postgraduate level in economics. I personally found this course very exhaustive and immensely helpful.

Bronze Medalists are happier than Silver Medalists - Basic Prospect Theory

Image
Today Indian hockey team won the bronze medal, re-writing history after having won an Olympic medal after 41 years. It indeed is a time to rejoice for the entire nation. Consequently, the Prime Minister of India, Mr Modi dialled the Indian hockey team's captain, just post the match to congratulate him.

Henderson Brooks Report

This report is based on an investigative commission that conducted an Operations Review of the Indian Army in the 1962 Sino-Indian War.

Practical aspects of growth accounting and the issue of double deflation

Here the notes discuss how TFP calculations are actually done in practicality. It also discusses sectoral output functions and uses them to derive aggregated GDP for the economy, introducing the idea of Domar weights on the go.

Economic Growth Calculations - National Accounts vs PWT

Notes based on the lecture by Prof. Alwyn Young discusses the problems of growth accounting. It describes the growth calculation using the National Accounts, its shortcomings and the potential solution - the chained index. Additionally, the lecture also discusses the growth calculation method adopted by PWT and its potential issues.

Behind the Penn World Table's

Notes based on the lecture by Prof. Alwyn Young discusses the math described in the paper on PWT construction (Feenstra, Inklaar and Timmer). We also discuss the older and the newer PWT's, their differences and issues.

Growth Accounting and TFP

Notes discuss the basics of TFP. Referenced to Prof. Alwyn Young. Click here  to read my notes.

Solow's model and the golden rule

Notes based on the lecture by Prof. Alwyn Young discuss the basics of production functions, their connection with Solow models and the golden rule.

Price Indices and Gerschenkron effects

Notes based on the lecture by Prof. Alwyn Young discuss prices and quantity indices - Laspeyres and Paasche and analyzes their behaviours. It does it for both consumption and production Gerschenkron. 

Special Relativity and Classical Field Theory

In 1905, while only twenty-six years old, Albert Einstein published "On the Electrodynamics of Moving Bodies" and effectively extended classical laws of relativity to all laws of physics, even electrodynamics.

Least Action Principle and Energy Hamiltonian

The least action principle is an extremely powerful tool that can be used to determine the trajectories taken up by the particle. It simply states that out of the possible trajectories, the particle will take the one for which the action required is the least.

Bayes Theorem, Vaccination and Media mis-interpretations

Image
Recently I read an article in a reputed magazine discussing the resurgence of COVID in Israel, a country that had vaccinated a major fraction of its population.

Do I think stock market is a bubble ?

During my recent chats with some investors, I was questioned by most of them about my thoughts on the "stock market bubble". I realized that there are whispers in the air about the stock market being a bubble currently.

Developments in business climate since 2014 - Preliminary data visualization

The stock markets have reached record levels and do not show much lethargy yet. Some articles justified these new heights of the stock markets by investors estimation of forwarding PEG.

Mucormycosis and COVID

Mucormycosis is uncommon and is largely confined to patients with serious pre-existing diseases Mucormycosis originating in paranasal sinuses and nose predominantly affects patients with poorly controlled diabetes mellitus.

Interest Rate Models

This course is the advanced level course offered by Ecole Polytechnique discusses interest rates and many related contracts like floating, fixed bonds, zero-coupon bonds, swaptions, caps, floors, swaps, forwards and futures.

Fundamentals of Quantitative Modelling

This Wharton's course teaches about the fundamentals of quantitative modelling. It is beneficial because these fundamental blocks could be added to form a more complex model at a later stage to solve various business issues.

Introductory Brownian Motion

T hese notes would be beneficial to individuals to understand the very basics of the Brownian Motion, which eventually would aid in understanding stochastic calculus. The notes have been made from the lectures of profbillbyrne.

Introductory Ito's Calculus

Image
  Notes have been made on the basis of lecture BEM1105X - Caltech. Course playlist can be found here

History of the World - Timelines (work in progress)

I have been working for almost 6 months on this self-curiosity drive of history. Based on content from Philip's atlas of world history, I am making timelines that I believe would aid us in a better understanding of history across the world.

National Income Accounting

National Income Accounting is a way to measure the economic activity of a nation. However, it is quite a bit complex in nature as the data required to measure different components are not directly available.

Hinting towards "missing pieces" of physics - Muon G-2 experiment

The Standard model is like the periodic table of physics which explains nearly everything in our universe. Despite being extremely successful, it also suffers caveats.

Securing Investment returns in the long-run

Academicians from the University of Geneva and professionals from UBS discuss the famous dichotomy between active and passive investing, how to measure and analyze investment performance and the future trends in the investment management industry.

Confusing "yields" in the bond market

Image
Now retail investors can invest in G-Secs and T-bills. Personally, I feel it is a win-win situation and a very important market gap being filled. Until now if we needed to invest in these securities, we had to go through mutual funds as individual investors.